How Renewed Red Sea Insecurity Is Reshaping Regional Alignments
Maritime disruption is linking security policy on the Arabian Peninsula, Horn of Africa access, energy infrastructure, and regional defense cooperation.
HAI Publications
Published research and analysis.
Evidence-based research and policy analysis on the Horn of Africa, Red Sea, Arabian Peninsula, and the institutions and systems connecting these regions.
Published work
Read HAI publications
Publicly available work appears first. Publication identifiers, dates, authorship, landing pages, and downloadable files are preserved as part of the Institute’s publication record.
Toward a Gulf-Horn Partnership: Opportunities, Institutional Constraints, and Political Risks
Shared maritime and economic interests are creating opportunities for cooperation between the Arabian Peninsula and Horn of Africa, while political fragmentation, sovereignty disputes, and competing regional strategies constrain institutional development.
Puntland’s War Against ISIS and the Next Test Against al-Shabaab
Operation Hillaac shows how local authority, terrain-adapted operations, and selective external support can shape counterterrorism outcomes.
The Proposed Horn of Africa Economic Integration: Political Economy and the Problem of Sequencing
The 2018 diplomatic opening created scope for a regional peace dividend, yet durable integration depends on institutional design, distributional bargaining, and alignment with existing regional frameworks.
Research Agenda and Publication Record
Publication series
HAI organizes published and forthcoming work by purpose. Published items remain in their authoritative series; developing and planned titles show the Institute’s research agenda.
01
Completed research
HAI Research Papers
Completed, evidence-based studies that advance a sustained original argument through transparent methods and documented sources.
- The Political Economy of Red Sea Ports: Investment, Infrastructure, and Regional Authority
- Maritime Security and Regional Order in the Red Sea, 2000–2026
- Investment from the Arabian Peninsula and Economic Transformation in the Horn of Africa
- State Capacity, Conflict, and Institutional Change in the Horn of Africa
02
Developing research
HAI Working Papers
Preliminary findings, datasets, measures, and comparative frameworks released for scholarly discussion and further development.
- Mapping Investment from the Arabian Peninsula in the Horn of Africa: Actors, Sectors, and Geographic Patterns
- Ports, Corridors, and Regional Connectivity in the Horn of Africa: A Comparative Framework
- Measuring State Capacity in Conflict-Affected Horn of Africa Countries: Concepts, Indicators, and Data Constraints
- External Security Partnerships and Institutional Authority in the Red Sea Region
- Puntland’s Campaign Against ISIS: Security Operations, Institutional Capacity, and Regional Implications
03
Policy guidance
HAI Policy Briefs
Concise assessments of policy choices, responsible actors, implementation constraints, and strategic consequences.
- Securing Red Sea Shipping: Policy Options for Regional Coordination and Escalation Control
- Governing Investment from the Arabian Peninsula in the Horn of Africa: Transparency, Local Benefits, and Institutional Capacity
- Strengthening Port and Corridor Governance in the Horn of Africa
- Supporting Puntland’s Campaign Against ISIS: Priorities for Security Assistance and Civilian Protection
- Responding to Sudan’s Regional Spillovers: Humanitarian Access, Border Stability, and Red Sea Security
04
Timely analysis
HAI Commentary
Concise, evidence-based interpretation of regional developments, emerging issues, and public debates.
🔓HAI-CM-2018-29 · November 25, 2018The Proposed Horn of Africa Economic Integration: Political Economy and the Problem of SequencingHAI Staff
🔓HAI-CM-2025-25 · June 25, 2025Puntland’s War Against ISIS and the Next Test Against al-ShabaabHAI Staff
🔒What to Watch as Regional Powers Reassess Their Horn of Africa Strategies
🔓HAI-CM-2025-22 · December 10, 2025Toward a Gulf-Horn Partnership: Opportunities, Institutional Constraints, and Political RisksHAI Staff
🔒Why Competition over Red Sea Ports Has Become a Regional Power Contest
🔓HAI-CM-2026-18 · Revised August 11, 2026How Renewed Red Sea Insecurity Is Reshaping Regional AlignmentsHAI Staff
🔒Sudan’s Worsening Crisis: Regional Consequences and the Limits of International Response
05
Quantitative and analytical reporting
HAI Special Reports
Integrated empirical assessments that develop comparative measures, track regional trends, and provide authoritative analysis of priority regional issues.
- Regional Security Cooperation ReportInstitutionalization Index and Comparative Measures
- Red Sea Maritime Security ReportSecurity Index and Regional Trends