Conflict dynamics
Escalation, armed-group behavior, political exclusion, and changing patterns of violence.
Horn of Africa Institute
Research field
How political order, institutions, armed actors, and security practices produce stability or conflict.
Scope
HAI examines conflict at local, national, and regional levels, with particular attention to political settlements, state institutions, armed actors, civilian experience, external intervention, and the institutional capacity required to manage disputes and provide security.
Core questions
Escalation, armed-group behavior, political exclusion, and changing patterns of violence.
Military effectiveness, police institutions, civilian oversight, organizational adaptation, and legitimacy.
Mediation, negotiation, inclusion, implementation, and the durability of political agreements.
Displacement, human security, early warning, and institutional responsibility for preventing harm.
Cross-border threats, alliances, external powers, maritime security, and regional cooperation.
The ability of public institutions to implement decisions, coordinate action, and sustain authority.
Analytical work
Conflict assessments, security-sector analysis, institutional diagnostics, early-warning frameworks, scenario exercises, and policy analysis.
View Publications