Horn of Africa Institute

Research field

Security, Politics & State Capacity

How political order, institutions, armed actors, and security practices produce stability or conflict.

Scope

What we study

HAI examines conflict at local, national, and regional levels, with particular attention to political settlements, state institutions, armed actors, civilian experience, external intervention, and the institutional capacity required to manage disputes and provide security.

Core questions

Where the research concentrates

Conflict dynamics

Escalation, armed-group behavior, political exclusion, and changing patterns of violence.

Security institutions

Military effectiveness, police institutions, civilian oversight, organizational adaptation, and legitimacy.

Political settlements

Mediation, negotiation, inclusion, implementation, and the durability of political agreements.

Civilian protection

Displacement, human security, early warning, and institutional responsibility for preventing harm.

Regional security

Cross-border threats, alliances, external powers, maritime security, and regional cooperation.

State capacity

The ability of public institutions to implement decisions, coordinate action, and sustain authority.

Analytical work

What HAI produces

Conflict assessments, security-sector analysis, institutional diagnostics, early-warning frameworks, scenario exercises, and policy analysis.

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